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Notes From a Capital Allocator

Weekly insights on how I deploy capital, evaluate risk, and compound over time.

Oliver Buchannon
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Engineering PhD turned capital allocator. Follows the Buffett school of investing.

Archive

Investor Insights

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Aug 10, 2026

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3 min read

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Exposing a contradiction in how I size positions

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Aug 3, 2026

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3 min read

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Berkshire got a seat at the table. I only get a stock price.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Jul 31, 2026

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3 min read

Model Portfolio Update

Betting on MSFT post-earnings

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Jul 27, 2026

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4 min read

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Everyone agrees on the setup. Nobody agrees on the clock.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Jul 24, 2026

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1 min read

Model Portfolio Update

Adding to CRM

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

The One I Almost Missed: Lennar

Jul 20, 2026

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4 min read

The One I Almost Missed: Lennar

Housing's supply shortage looks like oil in 2020 — except one company didn't cut supply

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Reading the Radar

Jul 13, 2026

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4 min read

Reading the Radar

The three signals I use to find ideas before they're obvious — and the oil trade that proved it.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

The Model Portfolio: Making It Real

Jul 8, 2026

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3 min read

The Model Portfolio: Making It Real

Stock picks were half a decision. Here's the other half.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

The SaaSpocalypse Is Mispriced

Jun 29, 2026

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6 min read

The SaaSpocalypse Is Mispriced

Salesforce is down 40% on a narrative that makes it more valuable, not less.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD
...
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