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Notes From a Capital Allocator

Weekly insights on how I deploy capital, evaluate risk, and compound over time.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Engineering PhD turned capital allocator. Follows the Buffett school of investing.

Archive

Investor Insights

The Bet That Doesn't Need You to Be Right

Sep 21, 2026

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3 min read

The Bet That Doesn't Need You to Be Right

What a 30-mile ruler taught me about structural investing

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

+1

The Three Ways I Compound Capital

Sep 14, 2026

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3 min read

The Three Ways I Compound Capital

And why WING only has one

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

Wingstop: Where I'm Stuck

Aug 31, 2026

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3 min read

Wingstop: Where I'm Stuck

Price is down ~70% from its high, but is it cheap?

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

The 25% I Never Got To

Aug 24, 2026

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3 min read

The 25% I Never Got To

A trade that's still good, at a price that's no longer as good

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Real Estate

The Deal That Taxes Killed

Aug 17, 2026

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4 min read

The Deal That Taxes Killed

A cap rate of 9.3% became negative cash flow the moment I checked the real tax bill.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Aug 10, 2026

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3 min read

Catching a Falling Knife (On Purpose)

Exposing a contradiction in how I size positions

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Investor Insights

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Aug 3, 2026

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3 min read

Why Berkshire Bought Google — And Why I Haven't

Berkshire got a seat at the table. I only get a stock price.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Model Portfolio

Model Portfolio Update

Jul 31, 2026

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3 min read

Model Portfolio Update

Betting on MSFT post-earnings

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD

Stock Picks

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Jul 27, 2026

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4 min read

Microsoft: The Cheapest Multiple in Years

Everyone agrees on the setup. Nobody agrees on the clock.

Dakota Crisp, PhD
Dakota Crisp, PhD
...
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